Here is the mad genius, chatting tonight in the NYTimes offices.
Posts Tagged ‘obama wins’
TONY POTTS: Here’s The Guy Who PERFECTLY Predicted Every State (as of this writing) In The Election: Nate Silver (Video)
Posted: November 7, 2012 by Tony Potts in UncategorizedTags: ABC, democrat, nate silver, obama wins, president obama, presidential election, PRESIDENTIAL RACE, republican, ROMNEY, united states, X-FACTOR USA
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TONY POTTS: Why You Should Rarely Listen To The Pundits/Here’s The Official 2012 Election Predictions/Yet Another Reason To Never Listen to George Will
Posted: November 7, 2012 by Tony Potts in UncategorizedTags: ABC, barack obama elected, cbs, election results, gma, hurricane, hurricane sandy, mitt romney, nbc, new jersey, obama wins, obama wins election, president obama, presidential election, united states, us election
This is a fascinating collection of all the pundits, who are usually wrong more than 50% of the time (which you could do better by flipping a coin, literally AND seriously) and who they predicted to win the Presidential Election.
The guy at the top of the list, Nate Silver, is the only guy you should ever listen to about serious issues because of the way he comes to his conclusions. Oh, and you can’t call him a pundit. Because he’s not. He’s a an American statistician, sabermetrician, psephologist, and writer. He predicted 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and all Senate Races. And predicted tonight.
Read just the first 50-pages of his excellent book, “The Signal and the Noise: Why Most Predictions Fail – But Some Don’t” and you’ll never listen to a pundit again or at least without laughing.
Pundit accountability: The official 2012 election prediction thread.
